Rosche, B. (2024). A multilevel model for coalition governments: Uncovering dependencies within and across governments due to parties.

Most multilevel analyses examine how lower-level units, such as persons, are affected by their embedding in contextual/aggregate units at a higher level (macro-to-micro link). The generalized multiple-membership multilevel model (MMMM) conceptually reverses this multilevel setup. It allows studying how the effects of units at lower levels propagate to a higher level (micro-to-macro link).

Previous studies examining micro-to-macro links either aggregated or disaggregated the data. These approaches obstruct the inherent aggregation problem, cannot separate micro-level and macro-level variance, and ignore dependencies among observations, thus inducing excessive Type-I error.

The MMMM overcomes these problems by explicitly modeling the aggregation from the micro to the macro level by including an aggregation function in the regression model. It is a theoretically and statistically sound solution to the study of micro-to-macro links with regression analysis.

The R package “rmm” provides an interface to fit the MMMM with Bayesian MCMC using JAGS from within R for a variety of outcomes (linear, logit, conditional logit, Cox, Weibull).

Next to aggregation regessions, the MMMM can be used

  • to model spatial structures. Level-1 units, in this case, would be the neighborhoods in the influence sphere of the focal neighborhood, and level-2 units would be the focal neighborhoods. The benefit of using MMMM over other spatial regression models is that the weight matrix can be endogenized, which is not currently possible with other methods
  • to model network structures. While this possibility has been explored in other work (Tranmer et al. 2014), the MMMM allows to endogenize the weight matrix, which is not currently possible with other multiple membership multilevel software, such as brms or MLWiN.